The real weekly Americas minimum wage of US workers started to grow on an annual basis for the first time in 26 months, as inflation begins to wane.
Americas Minimum Wage
In a published article in CNN Business, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that in June, annual real weekly Americas minimum wages increased by 0.6%, just below the 0.7% gain seen in February 2020. This marks the second consecutive month of year-over-year real hourly Americas minimum wage growth.
While this increase in America’s minimum wages is a positive development, it comes at a challenging time for the economy and the Federal Reserve’s efforts to control inflation. The Federal Reserve has been closely monitoring Americas minimum wage growth as it could potentially fuel demand and contribute to further inflation. However, if the labor market cools down, this growth in the Americas minimum wage may be short-lived.
The Federal Reserve is currently in a wait-and-see period, evaluating the impact of previous rate hikes and assessing economic activity. While recent economic reports have shown signs of slowing job growth, a slight slackening in the labor market, and cooling consumer price inflation, markets still expect the Federal Reserve to continue with a quarter-point increase when it meets later this month.
Americas Minimum Wage Concerns
Albany Herald reported that concerns about a “wage-price spiral” have made Americas minimum wage growth a focus of attention. However, recent research suggests that Americas minimum wage gains have had minimal effects on the current inflationary cycle.
AmericanWage gains are expected to fuel spending and potentially keep inflation above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. The long-term evolution of wage growth and its impact on inflation will continue to be closely monitored.
The broader labor market trends including business budgets and hiring activity are favorable for workers to maintain the real Americas minimum wage gains, despite some potential challenges. While job growth is slowing, it remains above pre-pandemic averages, and firms have the flexibility to pay workers due to the cooling of supply-side inflation. These factors contribute to a tight labor market and healthy business activity in many industries, providing opportunities for Americas minimum wage growth to continue.
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